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CL GS Points Statistics
Author: reisanibal
Date: 15-12-2013, 13:20
Statistics from here is updated with 2013/14 GS results.

"I started from 1995/96 season, because it is the first year that a win is rewarded 3 points in CL GS. There were 4 groups in 95/96 and 96/97 seasons, 6 groups in 97/98 and 98/99 seasons and from 99/00 on there are 8 groups. That makes a total of 140 groups under investigation."

This year we've witnessed some unlikely situations like 3rd placed team getting 12 points while there are teams qualifying with 6 and 7 points. Also second placed team getting 15 points is a first, too.

Points gathered by the teams finishing as;
1st: Theoretically can be between 6-18, except 17
2nd: Theoretically can be between 4-15
3rd: Theoretically can be between 2-12
4th: Theoretically can be between 0-9

Actual Cases:

1st in group:

18 points: 3 times - 2.14%
16 points: 14 times - 10.0%
15 points: 14 times - 10.0%
14 points: 14 times - 10.0%
13 points: 34 times - 24.3%
12 points: 23 times - 15.9%
11 points: 22 times - 16.4%
10 points: 13 times - 9.29%
9 points: 2 times - 1.43%
8 points: 1 time - 0.71%

On average, a group winner gathers 12.93 points.

2nd in group:

15 points: 1 time - 0.71%
13 points: 9 times - 6.43%
12 points: 17 times - 12.1%
11 points: 20 times - 14.3%
10 points: 37 times - 26.4%
9 points: 29 times - 20.7%
8 points: 20 times - 14.3%
7 points: 6 times - 4.29%
6 points: 1 time - 0.71%

On average, a group runner-up gathers 9.96 points.

3rd in group:

12 points: 1 time - 0.71%
10 points: 8 times - 5.71%
9 points: 15 times - 10.7%
8 points: 26 times - 18.6%
7 points: 42 times - 30.0%
6 points: 24 times - 17.1%
5 points: 14 times - 10.0%
4 points: 8 times - 5.71%
3 points: 2 times - 1.43%

On average, third team gathers 7.01 points.

4th in group:

7 points: 5 times - 3.57%
6 points: 14 times - 10.0%
5 points: 21 times - 15.0%
4 points: 31 times - 22.1%
3 points: 24 times - 17.1%
2 points: 16 times - 11.4%
1 point: 14 times - 10.0%
0 points: 15 times - 10.7%

On average, fourth team gathers 3.33 points.

Re: CL GS Points Statistics
Author: SirHenri
Date: 15-12-2013, 17:42
Thanks for the update, really a nice year to fill some gaps :-)

Re: CL GS Points Statistics
Author: Kjello
Date: 15-12-2013, 22:19
Edited by: Kjello
at: 15-12-2013, 22:21
I have a complete stat from both CL and EL. Also includes 2nd group stage of CL in those years.
It covers a total of 216 groups. And is devided by number of wins, draws and losses. So a 3-3-0 and 4-0-2 is devided even tough both give 12 points.

For those interested.
https://www.dropbox.com/s/n6qvpt876gswf1e/Grupper%20E-cup.xlsx

Re: CL GS Points Statistics
Author: Lorric
Date: 16-12-2013, 03:33
Manchester City (2nd, 15pts) Napoli (3rd, 12pts) and Zenit (2nd, 6pts) all unique on this list this year.