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EL Draw Probabilities
Author: Dniprovec
Date: 13-12-2013, 00:49
Edited by: Dniprovec
at: 13-12-2013, 00:50
To long to write it here.
Link: http://s28.postimg.org/xqbpszbwt/EL_probabilities.jpg

Re: EL Draw Probabilities
Author: bugylibicska
Date: 13-12-2013, 04:13
If I interpret your spreadsheet correctly, then the greatest probability is to have a Shakhtar - Lazio pairing and the smallest chance is to have a Plzen - Basel encounter. (And obviously you`re a Dnipro fan.) The difference in percentages is rather small, so almost anything possible, but still very interesting. Thanks.
So, according to your calculations we can look forward to:

Chornomorets Odessa - Fiorentina (Napoli, Valencia)
Dnipro - Napoli (Valencia, Sevilla)
Dynamo Kyiv - Fiorentina (Napoli, Valencia)
Shakhtar - Lazio (Betis, Juventus)

Tough prognosis for all Ukrainian teams. I hope for somewhat better, especially for Shakhtar as being seeded.

Re: EL Draw Probabilities
Author: bugylibicska
Date: 19-12-2013, 18:51
Tough draw for Ukrainian teams, but somewhat better than the prognosis.
Chornomorets - Lyon, I think it`s better than the Italian, Spanish combo, Odessa have their chances.
Dnipro - Tottenham, no such luck for Dnipro, Tottenham are as tough as the teams in the prognosis.
Dynamo Kyiv - Valencia, Dynamo got no break either, Valencia - one of the teams in the prediction - are their opponents.
Plzen - Shakhtar, although I don`t think Lazio or Betis are much better or dangerous than Plzen, Shakhtar avoided Juventus and overall they`re the ``luckiest`` team among the Ukrainians. They`re the favourites and face either Lyon or Chornomorets in the next round if they progress.
I`d be happy to see two teams in the next round.