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| Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: SirHenri
Date: 06-05-2013, 12:02 Edited by: SirHenri at: 06-05-2013, 12:09 | I made a small list, which teams are in deep trouble to reach any interantional competiton next season (in order of their team coefficient) : 7th Inter at least 4 points behind , maybe 5 dependent on the coppa italia (3 games to go) Something like 20% remaining 17th Liverpool has nearly no chances left, they need to get 6th (5 points down, only 2 games left) and hope that Chelsea gets only 5th but wins the FA-Cup. Less then 1% 23rd Sporting is 2 points and 1 game down to Estoril with only 2-3 matches to be played, also more teams fighting for this last place, all close behind Sporting (30%) 26th Villareal play in Segunda Division, maybe coming back next year but of course no chance to enter EL, so 0% 32nd Werder Bremen, they were close to CL-Pot-1 three years ago, but couldn't qualify since then. Now they are even still fearing relegation and have no chance for EL, so 0% 34th Bordeaux They have no chance left in Ligue 1, but reached semifinals in the cup, where they are considered as favourites because all other big teams failed to reach this stage. 60% 36th Twente needs to win the two play-off-stages to get the last EL-spot, so same situation as Boredeaux with some more difficult opponents, so 40 % 39th Hamburger SV lost their good chances with a draw last matchday and are now big outsiders to reach rank 6 or better (3 points and 18 goals down, two games to go) (15%) 40th Sevilla still have their chances, due to possible Malaga ban and cup final Real-Atletico the 8th place could be enough. Their are 8th atm, but still 5-7 teams fighting for it (Getafe one game left), so maybe 40% chance. To complete the Top 50 Teams : Bilbao(44th) and Fulham (50th) already lost their last chances and are definitly out of the race. |
| Re: Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: Lorric
Date: 06-05-2013, 15:54 | I wonder if you could have had a bigger list last year? Manchester City were 28th in the ranking and made CL pot B. This year they've risen to 22nd, and will very likely be in pot C. |
| Re: Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: mjohnson1989
Date: 06-05-2013, 16:22 | I've seen a lot of the Bundesliga this season thanks to ITV4 showing weekly highlights and I'm amazed that Werder Bremen are where they are. They are a much better team than the table suggests |
| Re: Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: nemesys
Date: 06-05-2013, 17:07 | 7th Inter at least 4 points behind , maybe 5 dependent on the coppa italia (3 games to go) Something like 20% remaining Probably even a bit less than 20%: Fiorentina (or Milan) can be considered unreachable, Lazio, Roma and Udinese are all in front of Inter and in a pretty good shape, there are only 3 available spots and one goes for sure to one between Lazio and Roma (Coppa Italia finalists). Plus, Inter is unbelievably full of injuries and in a pretty bad shape (4 matches lost in the last 5 played IIRC). In football everything can happen, but I would be a bit surprised if Inter can make it now. The obvious most likely scenario for Serie A is Juve and Napoli to CLGS, Milan to CLQ4-NCPO, To the ELGS one club from Rome (Roma or Lazio), Fiorentina to the EL Q4, and the other club from Rome or Udinese to the EL Q3. Inter really needs something special to get in now. Cheers!  - nemesys |
| Re: Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: SirHenri
Date: 06-05-2013, 22:55 | Estoril just grabbed a point at Benfica !! That not only makes the next matchup Porto-Benfica even more interesting (both still unbeaten and separated by just two points now). It also decreases the chances of Sporting, who are now 3 points behind Estoril and lost the H2H ! |
| Re: Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: Lorric
Date: 07-05-2013, 00:24 | Excellent. It will be good to see the English bogey team out of Europe. |
| Re: Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: seso
Date: 07-05-2013, 07:40 | I think that 54th Panathinaikos can be included in this list. |
| Re: Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: SirHenri
Date: 07-05-2013, 14:19 Edited by: SirHenri at: 07-05-2013, 14:24 | Yeah right, so let's make it the Top 55 list Hannover and Wolfsburg to add then as well. And maybe Udinese. But Pana is by far the biggest surprise for me of missing international football, even though I heard some rumours that there is a slight chance left for them depending on license problems for another greek club (PAS Giannina). That's why they play an deciding match on 09.05. versus Xanthi to make clear who finishes 6th in the league. And maybe gets the last european spot, if Giannina gets no license. |
| Re: Good teams that miss out completely next season | |
| Author: SirHenri
Date: 12-05-2013, 12:24 Edited by: SirHenri at: 12-05-2013, 12:26 | Inter ---> out Sporting ---> out Liverpool ---> out Werder ---> out Villareal ---> out Twente ---> need to win the play-offs Bordeaux ---> need to win the cup HSV ---> only small chances left Sevilla ---> still in fight, maybe 50/50 |