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CL vs. EL Available Coefficient Points Analysis
Author: Lorric
Date: 01-09-2011, 01:08
I don’t know if anyone has done anything like this before, but I thought I’d produce some figures comparing coefficient point earnings in the Champions League and Europa league at different stages. The topic of whether too many points are taken from the Europa League has always been a hot one. I’ve done a maximum and minimum calculation, and a middle of the road calculation too, as the minimum and maximum calculations are extremely unlikely to occur for real teams. The middle outcome provides a more realistic track record for a team, and you can give or take away a few points in your mind if you like.

Group Stage Elimination

CL Maximum - P6 W4 L2 B4 - 12pts

CL Middle - P6 W1 D2 L3 B4 - 8pts

CL Minimum - P6 L6 B4 - 4pts


EL Maximum - P6 W4 L2 - 8pts

EL Middle - P6 W1 D2 L3 - 4pts

EL Minimum - P6 L6 B2 - 2pts


Last 32/ Last 16 Elimination

CL Maximum - P8 W7 L1 B9 - 23pts

CL Middle - P8 W2 D4 L2 B9 - 17pts

CL Minimum - P8 D4 L4 B9 - 13pts


EL16 Maximum - P10 W9 L1 - 18pts

EL16 Middle - P10 W3 D5 L2 - 11pts

EL16 Minimum - P10 D6 L4 - 6pts


EL32 Maximum - P8 W7 L1 - 14pts

EL32 Middle - P8 W2 D4 L2 - 8pts

EL32 Minimum - P8 D4 L4 - 4pts


Quarter Final Elimination

CL Maximum - P10 W9 L1 B10 - 28pts

CL Middle - P10 W3 D5 L2 B10 - 21pts

CL Minimum P10 D6 L4 B10 - 16pts


EL Maximum - P12 W11 L1 B1 - 23pts

EL Middle - P12 W4 D6 L2 B1 - 15pts

EL Minimum P12 D8 L4 B1 - 9pts


Semi Final Elimination

CL Maximum - P12 W11 L1 B11 - 33pts

CL Middle - P12 W4 D6 L2 B11 - 25pts

CL Minimum P12 D8 L4 B11 - 19pts


EL Maximum - P14 W13 L1 B2 - 28pts

EL Middle - P14 W5 D7 L2 B2 - 19pts

EL Minimum P14 D10 L4 B2 - 12pts


Final Elimination

CL Maximum - P13 W12 L1 B12 - 36pts

CL Middle - P13 W5 D6 L2 B12 - 28pts

CL Minimum P13 D10 L3 B12 - 22pts


EL Maximum - P15 W14 L1 B3 - 31pts

EL Middle - P15 W6 D7 L2 B3 - 22pts

EL Minimum P15 D12 L3 B3 - 15pts


Champion

CL Maximum - P13 W13 B12 - 38pts

CL Middle - P13 W6 D6 L1 B12 - 30pts

CL Minimum P13 D11 L2 B12 - 23pts


EL Maximum - P15 W15 B3 - 33pts

EL Middle - P15 W7 D7 L1 B3 - 24pts

EL Minimum P15 D13 L2 B3 - 16pts


Notice how once the KO stages begin, The gap in points between the maximum is 5pts, 6pts between the middle, and 7pts between the minimum. I think we can guess roughly that a Champions League KO stage competitor will collect very roughly 6 more coefficient points than an equivalent level Europa League competitor, while elimination in the group stage provides 4 bonus points to the Champions League team, plus further opportunities to gain points should the eliminated team finish third. I think the balance is good. It is still possible for a team to claim more points for reaching the equivalent stage in the Europa League to a Champions League team, but things are weighted sufficiently against it I think. A balance after all still has to be struck to allow nations with only a single Champions League place to move up the rankings too.

Re: CL vs. EL Available Coefficient Points Analysis
Author: Lusankya
Date: 01-09-2011, 10:33
What about CL teams who finish third in their group? Are they considered CL team or EL teams or both or something special?

Re: CL vs. EL Available Coefficient Points Analysis
Author: Lorric
Date: 01-09-2011, 16:49
@ Lusankya

Go on then. I'll do those too.

Champions League third place group teams

Last 32

Maximum - P8 W5 L3 B4 - 14pts

Middle - P8 W1 D3 L4 B4 - 9pts

Minimum - P8 W0 D2 L6 B4 - 6pts

Last 16

Maximum - P10 W7 L3 B4 - 18pts

Middle - P10 W2 D4 L4 B4 - 12pts

Minimum - P10 W0 D4 L6 B4 - 8pts

Quarter Final

Maximum - P12 W9 L3 B5 - 23pts

Middle - P12 W3 D5 L4 B5 - 16pts

Minimum - P12 W0 D6 L6 B5 - 11pts

Semi Final

Maximum - P14 W11 L3 B6 - 28pts

Middle - P14 W4 D6 L4 B6 - 20pts

Minimum - P14 W0 D8 L6 B6 - 14pts

Runner up

Maximum - P15 W12 D1 L2 B7 - 32pts

Middle - P15 W5 D6 L4 B7 - 23pts

Minimum - P15 W0 D10 L5 B7 - 17pts

Winner

Maximum - P15 W13 L2 B7 - 33pts

Middle - P15 W6 D6 L3 B7 - 25pts

Minimum - P15 W0 D11 L4 B7 - 18pts


I noticed I made a mistake on my maximum figures for losing finalists. It doesn't effect the 5pts 6pts 7pts thing though. I just should have had the teams drawing in the final instead of losing, so should read:

Final Elimination

CL Maximum - P13 W12 D1 B12 - 37pts

EL Maximum - P15 W14 D1 B3 - 32pts



If you compare the third place figures directly to the Champions League figures, the gap is 5pts in all instances in the KO stage, so I guess we can say roughly a team which continues on in the Champions League will be 5pts better off than a team that drops into the Europa League and is at the equivalent stage in that competition.