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Seedings Predictions 2009/10
Author: duncshine
Date: 25-09-2008, 14:31
Edited by: duncshine
at: 25-09-2008, 14:32
Hi all,

OK, with pretty well all leagues up and running the model starts to make sense. In previous years we have seen that a coefficient of about 35 was the difference between seeding and non-seeding in the final Champions League Qualifier, but with the change where are we now.

OK, in the Champions Q3
Seeded
SWI1 FC Basel 53.266
GRE1 Olympiakos Piraeus 49.057
AUT1 FK Austria Wien 33.882
CZE1 AC Sparta Praha 27.434
SRB1 FK Partizan Beograd 22.867
Unseeded
BUL1 PFC CSKA Sofia 16.847
DEN1 Odense BK 15.012
CRO1 NK Dinamo Zagreb 14.740
CYP1 Anorthosis Famagusta FC 9.427
SWE1 Kalmar FF 6.848

While in the non-Champions Q3 we have

Ann Club Coefficient
Seeded
SPA4 Sevilla FC 101.290
POR2 Sporting CP Lisbon 62.429
RUS3 CSKA Moskva 60.241
GER3 VfB Stuttgart 43.533
SCO2 Celtic FC 40.951
Unseeded
NET2 SC Heerenveen 35.263
UKR2 FC Dynamo Kyiv 32.602
ENG4 Aston Villa FC 24.567
ITA4 SSC Napoli 20.243
FRA3 Toulouse FC 17.915
OK, we know that as the season progresses the cream rises to the top and the coefficients will also rise.

But what is clear is that the new system will give us more unfashionable teams, probably at the expense of runners-up or third from 2nd rank countries.

What does everyone think of this.

Cheers

Re: Seedings Predictions 2009/10
Author: wisla_krakow_fun
Date: 25-09-2008, 16:32
But where is polish team ? :/

Re: Seedings Predictions 2009/10
Author: Lusankya
Date: 25-09-2008, 17:08
Current Polish leader Legia Warsaw only has a coefficient of 4.382.

Re: Seedings Predictions 2009/10
Author: wisla_krakow_fun
Date: 25-09-2008, 19:09
But Legia Warsaw it isn't a leader a polish league! Leader is a Wisła Cracow ( 15.973 and in next season 9.382 ). It's mistace ...

Re: Seedings Predictions 2009/10
Author: badgerboy
Date: 25-09-2008, 19:52
Edited by: badgerboy
at: 25-09-2008, 19:53
Well Soccerway has 4 teams level on 13 points with Polonia Warsaw top on goal difference.

I'm not sure what the tiebreaker criteria is in Poland but I doubt all 4 teams at the top have played each other yet so any head-to-head numbers must be pretty false.

Re: Seedings Predictions 2009/10
Author: duncshine
Date: 29-09-2008, 14:16
Re the Polish league. Yes, I use Soccerway to ascertain current league leaders etc. Right now that looks like Legia Warszawa on goal difference.

Currently, they would be seed to go out in Champions' Q2.

In Champions Q3: Basel, Olympiakos, Austria Wien, Slavia Praha and Partizan Beograd would be seeded, with CSKA Sofia just missing out.

In Non-Champ Q3: Sevilla, Arsenal, Internazionale, Werder Bremen and PSV Eindhoven would be seeded, with Sporting Lisbon unseeded despite a current coefficient of 62.429!